Newsgroups: lter.ced
Path: LTERnet!rnott
From: "Bruce P. Hayden" <bph@envsci.evsc.virginia.edu>
Subject: CED 1.8 October
Message-ID: <1992Sep28.123234.2949@lternet.washington.edu>
Sender: rnott@lternet.washington.edu (Rudolf Nottrott )
Organization: Long Term Ecological Research
Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1992 12:21:23 GMT

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        Vol.1  No.8 :::::: file name:CED1.8 :::::: October 1, 1992

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CED is the Climate/Ecosystem Dynamics bulletin board of the LTER network. 
In CED, you will find exchanges of ideas, information, data,
bibliographies,
literature discussions, and a place to get to experts within the LTER
community.  We are interested in both climate controls on ecosystems and
ecosystem controls on climate.  As this is an inter-disciplinary activity,
we hope to provide things that you might not come across in your work at
your LTER site.

CED is a product of the LTER climate committee and contributions to CED for
general e-mail release may be sent to either David Greenland of Andrews
LTER [Greenlan@oregon.uoregon.edu] or to Bruce Hayden of the Virginia Coast
Reserve LTER [bph@envsci.evsc.virginia.edu].  We expect that the scope of
CED will evolve and reflect the interests of the contributors and users of
this service.  CED will be issued as the preparation work gets done
(monthly?).  Back-releases of CED may be requested from  Daniel Pommert
[daniel@lternet.washington.edu] by the file name given in the masthead. 
Daniel can also add people to the CED mailing list.   

Feedback on CED from LTER scientists is welcome (non-$$$$ contributions
also welcome.)  For example, please forward citations of climate &
ecosystem publications on your site.  We will keep a LTER wide bibliography
on Climate/Ecosystem Dynamics that we pass on via E-mail. 


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CED 1.7 had some problems that can only be put at my cerebral doorstep. 
Not good.  It resulted in conversations from Coweeta, Niwot, Luquillo, and
Arctic Tundra, Kellogg, Andrews and network central.  Not bad.  For me it
was an "Oh! Geeze!" followed by a "Hey, this is sort of fun."  Most people
stuck to the issues.  Hobbie offered sage advice which I put in my wisdom
file.  Be it known to all that my skin is thick enough and welcome all
commentary and discussion.  Unless requested not to or unless the
commentary and discussion is boring, I will forward the repartee on to all
CED readers.  Jerry can call it an experiment in real-time NETWORKING. 
Hobbie can call it proto-synthesis.  Magnuson can call it a cross-site
work.  The rest of us may use the term banter.  Thanks for your comments.
  
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     ***                COOL SOILS UNDER VEGETATION                ***
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Last month's CED prompted one of our students to drop a paper on my desk. 
It is titled "The influence of vegetation on Soil Thermal Regime at the San
Dimas Lysimeters" by H. K. Qashu and P. J. Zinke in the Soil Science
Society Proceedings in 1964 pages 703-706.  Q & Z looked at soil
temperatures at .5, 1, 2, 3.5 and 5.5 feet below the surface under bare
soil, grass, a pine forest and an oak forest.  For the modeling types in
the crowd, Q & Z offer theoretical equations derived from fourier heat
equations parameterized for each vegetation type and depth. The study site
is in Los Angeles County, California 

                    Soil temperatures in July
____________________________________________________________________
Site                                temperature (F)
           depth (ft) =  0.5      1.0      2.0      3.5      5.5
Bare soil                79.0     77.9     74.3     71.3     66.9
Grass                    75.6     75.8     72.6     69.1     64.7
Pine forest              75.3     73.8     72.7     69.6     65.9
Oak forest               69.9     70.2     66.4     65.5     62.8
____________________________________________________________________

So soil temperature is dependent on vegetation cover and changes in
vegetation cover should change soil temperatures.  Soils are coolest under
the oak forest at all depths.  Except in June, the warmest soil under the
oak forest is at 1 foot depth with a cooler surface.  Q & Z did not say
why.  Any ideas?  

Month of warmest soil

                    Soil temperatures in July
____________________________________________________________________
Site                                temperature (F)
           depth (ft) =  0.5      1.0      2.0      3.5      5.5
Bare soil                JULY     AUG.     AUG.     AUG.     SEPT
Grass                    AUG.     AUG.     AUG.     SEPT     SEPT
Pine forest              AUG.     AUG.     AUG.     SEPT     SEPT
Oak forest               SEPT     SEPT     AUG.     SEPT     OCT.
____________________________________________________________________

The deeper you go the longer it takes (into the year) to experience the
maximum in temperature.  At some depth you go beyond the year.  At some
depth you are responsive to extra-annual heat gains and losses (see CED
1.7).  

Q & Z note that "The cooling effect of the oak is assumed to be a direct
result of evapotranspiration, lack of air circulation, foliage albedo
characteristics, and the soil moisture regime.  This sounds like a
we-really-don't-know answer.  I would look to the role of the litter layer
in heat conduction.  A lower heat conductivity of oak litter (if it wasn't
always damp) would moderate summer warming and winter cooling.

  In all months of the year the bare soil at all depths was warmer than all
the vegetation covered plots.  On a yearly average basis at 5.5 feet, the
bare soil is 2.4 F warmer than the oak soil at the same depth. Clearly, the
heat propagation to depths responsive to longer term heat gains and losses
depends on what kind of vegetation cover is present.  

These kinds of numbers are really dependent on soil moisture; but, the data
above are all from the same experimental site (same weather) and they are
averages of 7 years of data.  

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     ***          SAN JUAN, PUERTO RICO TEMPERATURE TRENDS         ***
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The Cuba soil warming and vegetation change item in the last CED (CED 1.7)
sent me searching for evidence of temperature changes in the region and
perhaps closer to Luquillo.  I found Claude E. Duchon's 1986 paper
Temperature Trends at San Juan Puerto Rico [Bulletin Am. Meteor. Soc.
67(11):1370-1377.  San Juan has apparently warmed up "monotonically" at
every month and hour of the day Duchon checked for the time span 
1956-1982.  On a mean annual basis it turned out to be 2.1 C rise for the
27 years of record.  Daily minimum temperatures have risen the most 3.0 C
per 27 years.  The first guess was that as San Juan got bigger, more
metropolitan and sophisticated a urban heat island developed and became
more pronounced.  Unfortunately, the rate of warming was off the charts for
trends due to urban warming relative to population growth.  Duchon's theory
is that the transition from palm tree agriculture to concrete moderinity
accounts for the trend and he offers the notion that the airport local heat
island is especially important.  The airport has grown over time.  

Duchon presents other data that permit the alternative hypothesis that may
be of some interest to our friends at Loquillo.  They show that wind speeds
have declined and the direction of the winds have also changed.  In the
1950s, the morning winds came from the ESE (about 15 degrees south of east)
and are now about 45 degrees south of east.  Afternoon winds had come from
70 degrees east of north (from the offshore) now (1982) the come from 5
degrees north of east (by land parallel to the coast).  In short the air
progressively had to cross more land, i.e. more of the island, before it
could reach San Juan.  Since the islands are very much heated relative to
the surrounding oceans [the island is a heat island], the air that comes
over more land gets heated more.  The biggest difference is in the morning
and that is when the temperature trend is greatest 3 degrees in 27 years. 
Afternoon wind speeds have not changed much but morning winds have slowed
down from 3.5 meters per second to about 2.5 meters per second.  So in the
morning it takes the air longer to get across the land area before it gets
to San Juan.  It crosses more land and crosses it slower.  It can heat up
more.  

At Loquillo there should have been similar wind direction and perhaps speed
changes.  The winds have, in recent years, come more out of the southeast
and less out of the east.  Why?  We are not sure but I have research in
progress that indicates changes in the shape of the subtropical anticyclone
of the subtropcial North Atlantic has changed (1899-1990) and this would
change wind direction.  I will report on this when the work finishes up ---
this fall.  We have some fast graduate students.  Loquillo will get all our
long term data before it gets published.  Soon.

Have a look at Duchon's paper.


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     ***       VEGETATION AND WHICH WAY IS THE WIND BLOWING        ***
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Our good friends at Harvard Forest are working on the 1938 hurricane, it's
wind fields and the blow downs it produced.  Emery Boose has built a nice
model that brings ashore hurricanes and puts out wind fields (direction and
speed).  His focus right now is Harvard Forest, Luquillo and North Inlet
LTERs.  This is intersite stuff.  Recently he put in topography to produce
a high resolution, site specific wind fields and then compare them to the
blow down records.  The next step is to have a feedback from the vegetation
to the wind field.  He asked how I viewed the problem and so I will core
dump here on the pages of CED.  

First, let me say that the sun builds the solenoids that accelerate the
winds.  So when sonny asks daddy, "Why do the winds blow?" you will have a
cute answer.  But, what are you going to do when he asks, "What stops the
winds?"  Just tell him the grass, flowers , shrubs and trees.  On big
islands like England wind speeds inland are about half what they are over
smoother surface of the ocean (R. W. Gloyne. 1964. Sci. Hort. 17:7-19). 
The fury of the winds are dissipated mostly by the vegetation on the land
and the waves at sea.  That is about 2.3 watts per meter squared.  That is
the average for the Earth.  That is about how much a 2XCO2 change will
alter the earths radiation budget!  The vegetation slows down the winds and
makes them turn to the left in the northern hemisphere.  Why left you say. 
Well friction slows down the wind.  The Coriolis acceleration to the right
is the Coriolis parameter times the velocity.  So the coriolis acceleration
gets less and is then smaller than the acceleration do to the pressure
gradient and the wind turns left toward low pressure (down hill).  Low
pressure is to the left of the wind in our hemisphere!  Well how many
degree leftward does it turn.  That is what Emery wants to put in his model
to predict blow downs.  Well it depends on how rough the vegetations
surface is.  A measure of such roughness is surface roughness (Zo).  The
maximum leftward turn is 90 degrees to the left.  For this to happen the
trees must have brought the wind to a stop!  Friction this great can be
found inside a forest.  The winds inside the forest (light merry little
breezes) tend to flow to low pressure.  Find one of your colleagues who
still smokes [you might have to go to the psychology department to find one
or to central administration] take them out to your local forest and turn
the smoking light on.  Get him to puff away.  Watch the smoke.  Which way
does it drift?  Then look at the direction of movement of some low clouds. 
They should be about 90 to the smoke.  These to low pressure winds in
forests are called antitriptic winds.  This is maxed out leftward
deflection of the winds due to the total friction offered by the
vegetation.  If you looked at the leaves and twigs at the top of the
canopy, you would see a wind direction about 45 degrees left of the free
air flow above the trees.  

If you are testing out all these things right after Christmas you are
likely to have lots of Christmas tree rain (plastic "tin" foil strips) or
you can watch for your neighbor to throw out his tree for the trashmen. 
Neighbors rarely pick off all this scientific equipment before disposing. 
Take these little wind vanes and drape them (or tie them) to the branches
of the trees from the top of the canopy (use one of Franklin's canopy
insertion devices) branch by branch down through the canopy.  Now you will
be able to see the direction of air flow at all heights within the forest. 
You might even see (or photography) the eddies of air flow in the trees. 
How big are those eddies.  Let me know. If you have to put the the cost of
these little wind vanes into your LTER renewal budget you should plan on
about $1.49 per box of 60 vanes.  

Well, how many degrees of leftward deflection should there be per unit of
surface roughness.  I have looked for the key regression equation for this
and I can't find it. But here are some numbers I found and some that are
stuck in between the found numbers based on published surface roughness
numbers. 


Surface     Degrees of leftward deflection
__________________________________________
oceans                  20* 
grass                   20*
city "canopy" smooth    30*
orchard                 30
Paris, France           45*#
20 m deciduous forest   50
30 m coniferous forest  60
Inside a forest         90
__________________________________________
* from Byers' General Meteorology, 1959
# from Landsberg (1970)
other numbers are based on published surface roughnesses and Byers' data.


Byers got his estimates by measuring the difference in angle between the
winds and the isobars of the pressure field.  Without friction, the winds
should go parallel to the isobars.  With friction, they cross the isobars
to the left.  Winds flow out of a high pressure system and into a low
pressure system.  

I took a look at winter 1967 weather maps and looked for this angle at
three LTER locations Coweeta (deciduous forest), Konza (grassland) and
Sevilleta (desert).  I picked days with straight isobars and no front or
storm at the sites.  I measured 12 angles for each site.  Tossed out the
highest and lowest values (This is Olympics diving methodology.) and found
the average.

LTER Site        Vegetation       leftward deflection of the winds
____________________________________________________________________
Coweeta#       deciduous forest               52.2 degrees

Sevilleta     scrubby desert                 43.5 degrees

Konza         grassland (shortish)           34.1 degrees
____________________________________________________________________
#Winds at Coweeta may also depart from the isobars due to channeling of the
winds due to topography.

So I found Sevilleta to be as rough as Paris, France.  This is a
unidirectional complement.  Konza is like a smooth city.  It just goes to
show that vegetation is a better "baffle" for the wind that the unbending
buildings of the city.

Coweeta came out about as expected given the first table presented.  Emery
now needs to use his GIS and assign deflection angles to the pre-hurricane
1930 landscape at Petersham.  He had forests and fields.  So he should find
places where the winds converged (here they must speed up) and other places
where the winds diverge (here they must slow down).  Landscape
heterogeneity due to vegetation gives rise to velocity maxima here and
minima there.


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     ***                     A FANCIFUL VIEW ON                    ***
     ***                HOW ROUGH MUST VEGETATION BE?              ***
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The earth is a dissipative system (Paltridge [1979] "Climate and
Thermodynamic Systems of Maximum Dissipation" Nature 279:630-631).  About
2.3 watts per meter squared of the 230 watts per meter squared available
each average day from the sun goes into making the wind blow (kinetic
energy) and the rest goes into our internal energy, earth is a nice warm
place.  Eventually this 2.3 watts per meter squared gets converted to heat
by means of friction.  Most of this dissipation is into the vegetation on
the land surface and into the oceans making waves.

First the waves.  The oceans, 70% of earth, we will say does 70% of the 2.3
watts per meter squared of dissipation.  This raises the average wave
height at sea to some value, its global climatic mean height.  The
vegetation covered land, 30% by area, dissipates 30% of the 2.3 watts per
meter squared.  A surface of "climatically average" surface roughness is
needed to do all the dissipation work needed, i.e a vegetation height
moasic that gives that global land mean surface roughness.  

Now what would happen if we had some strange sort of climate change that
reduced the average planetary wind speed.  Well, waves at sea might, on
average, be a little less high or maybe be a little shorter in period
(choppier).  The other thing that could happen is to have less rough
vegetation on the land surface.  How do we do that.  Well, we could have a
greater abundance of shorter vegetation.  We would need fewer forests
except to print CED from your printer.  However, slower winds usually (e.g.
greenhouse studies) mean taller less stiff plants.  Taller would increase
surface roughness.  Less stiff would lower surface roughness because the
canopy would then be more wave-form and its steamlined form would be less
rough.  (Grace and Russell, 1977. J. Exp. Bot. 28:268-274. & Plant Response
to Wind by J. Grace Academic Press 1977).  With a less windy world we could
have a more graceful world with lots of amber waves of grain.  

Now, what if people (men and women) went around with his trusty axe with a
bent for hewing trees for the good of person-kind. The land would be less
rough to the wind and the land area would do less of the total 2.3 watts
per meter squared of work that just has to be done.  Either the non-hewed
land would have to get taller vegetation or stiffer vegetation or the
oceans would have to do this work and build higher waves and put at risk
your beach cottage and make sailing ships go faster.  Lets see -- cut down
the trees to get the sailing ships to go faster.  That is what they did
(not for that reason) in New England when they cut down the tall straight
white pines for sailing ship masts.  The more they cut down the faster the
ships could go.  Trade goods faster.  Finance more ships that could go
still faster.  Now well before Emery's 1933 hurricane blew down the trees
the New Englanders had left standing, most of New England had been
carefully devegetated.  The less rough surface permitted higher wind speeds
close to the ground.  In 1938, New England was ripe for Andrew like
picking.  Backyard avocados in Florida.  Pines and Oaks in New England.
Feedbacks are fun to run to doomsday scenarios.  If you don't think that
the surface roughness due to plants plays a global role, you need to read
the stuff of Sud. [J. of Clim. 4:383-398, 1984; Monthly Weather Review
116:2388-2400, 1988; J. Appl. Metero. 27:1036-1054, 1988; J. of Clim. &
Appl. Metero. 24:1015-1036, 1985 and Boundary-Layer Metero. 33:15-49, 1985]

This last piece has been off the top of my head.  True a flight of fancy
but it does set one to thinking of what good the vegetation is anyway in a
global sense.  Just remember the sun speeds things up to the tune of 2.3
watts per meter squared and the vegetation must do its part in slowing
things down the requisite 2.3 watts per meter squared.   


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     ***               FLATUS GAS IN A GREENHOUSE WORLD            ***
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Among the trace gas villains implicated in a warming world is methane.  Are
we Gaian liberators of this satanic gas?  Not compared to the white-tail
deer which is 240 times more flatulent than women (men as well) on a per
kilogram of body weight basis.  Nor to the warthog which is a modest 120
times more flatulent per kilogram of body weight.

Flatulence is a matter of health, food, and choice.  Yes, with some
willpower, you can hold tight.  Thirty to 50% of healthy people produce
methane and release it as flatus gas.  The rest of us hold it in,
reabsorbing it into our bloodstream and letting our lungs do the release in
a socially acceptable way.  Make your own assessment of group membership.

For the by-the-lungs crowd, exhaled methane production averages 1.5 ml/min.
 Humanity, as a collective, breathes a sigh of relief totalling 0.1
Tg/year.  The back-door crowd run their engines with a flatus gas output in
the range of 2 to 8 percent methane rich.  Collectively, man produces 0.2
Tg/yr byh this method for a front-door, back-door total of 0.3 Tg/year.
(One Tg/yr = 10 to the 12th power grams.) 

Global methane production is somewhere between 300 and 500 Tg/yr.  We are
not Gaian Villains driven by enteritic fermentation afterall.  The global
warming, at least methane's part, rests on the hooves of others.  So you
can breathe more easily.  Data for this article comes from researchers who
warned us of Nuclear Winter (now Nuclear Autumn) see Tellus (38B) 1986. 
Those interested in what microbes can really do should read J. E. Hobbie
and J. M. Melillo  in Current Perspectives in Microbial Ecology, ed. Kluge
and Reddy, 1984.  

----------------+--------------------------------+-------------------------
Bruce P. Hayden |  Dept. Environmental Sciences  |  bph@virginia.EDU
(804) 924-0545  |  Clark Hall, Univ. of Virginia |  bph@virginia.BITNET
(804) 924-7761  |  Charlottesville, VA 22903     |  (804) 982-2137(fax) 
----------------+--------------------------------+-------------------------

