Newsgroups: lter.ced
Path: LTERnet!news
From: "Bruce P. Hayden" <bph@envsci.evsc.virginia.edu>
Subject: CED 1.7 Sept
Message-ID: <1992Aug28.193817.14709@lternet.washington.edu>
Sender: news@lternet.washington.edu
Organization: Long Term Ecological Research
Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1992 19:27:52 GMT

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       Vol.1  No.7 :::::: file name:CED1.7 :::::: September 1, 1992

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CED is the Climate/Ecosystem Dynamics bulletin board of the LTER network. 
In CED, you will find exchanges of ideas, information, data,
bibliographies,
literature discussions, and a place to get to experts within the LTER
community.  We are interested in both climate controls on ecosystems and
ecosystem controls on climate.  As this is an inter-disciplinary activity,
we hope to provide things that you might not come across in your work at
your LTER site.

CED is a product of the LTER climate committee and contributions to CED for
general e-mail release may be sent to either David Greenland of Andrews
LTER [Greenlan@oregon.uoregon.edu] or to Bruce Hayden of the Virginia Coast
Reserve LTER [bph@envsci.evsc.virginia.edu].  We expect that the scope of
CED will evolve and reflect the interests of the contributors and users of
this service.  CED will be issued as the preparation work gets done
(monthly?).  Back-releases of CED may be requested from  Daniel Pommert
[daniel@lternet.washington.edu] by the file name given in the masthead. 
Daniel can also add people to the CED mailing list.   

Feedback on CED from LTER scientists is welcome (non-$$$$ contributions
also welcome.)  For example, please forward citations of climate &
ecosystem publications on your site.  We will keep a LTER wide bibliography
on Climate/Ecosystem Dynamics that we pass on via E-mail. 


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     ***                  From the Alaska CC Trip                  ***
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Many of the items for this issue of CED were collected during the Alaska
Coordinating Committee trip to Fairbanks and points north.  Otherwise --
there wouldn't be a CED issue this month.  

At Keith Van Cleve's sit-down dinner for 70 or so a conversation about
relative humidity broke out.  No hush came over the crowd.  Complements on
Alaska's weather were bandied about however.  "How comfortable it is here."
 "What is the relative humidity in summer."  "Oh.  Between 50% and 100%." 
While such conversation might be viewed as buttering up the host, the
notion that 50 to 100% relative humidity is nice might be debated.  For
example: a Washington, D.C. August day might clock in at 50% relative
humidity (Alaska nice) with an afternoon temperature of 90 F.  That would
put the dewpoint temperature at about 69 F (you wont need covers at night
with that dewpoint) and the amount of water in the air at 31 grams per
kilogram of air.  Meanwhile, in Alaska, it is 70 F and 50% relative
humidity and the dewpoint is only 50 F and the amount of water in the air
is 15.2 grams per kilogram of air.  Both lovely places had the same
relative humidity but one had twice as much water in the air!  By morning,
in Alaska, the temperature would be about 50 F and sleeping in the
all-together shouldn't done with out blankets for fear of hypothermia.  One
thing you don't find in Alaska is nights when it is to humid (absolute
humidity) to sleep!  When you have to speak about relative  humidity in
polite society, and when I am around, say the words 'relative humidity'
with a hushed voice.  There might be a fly on the wall!  That is old
reports lingo for eavesdropping.

Being evaporators ourselves, things get life threateningly tight when the
dewpoint temperature of the air is the same as our skin temperature (33 C
or 91.4 F).  You might find such condition on the shores of the Persian
Gulf. Don't go there unless your are sent.  At night, the temperatures
might fall to 91.4 but no lower.  Just think, hyperthermia while you try to
sleep!  You can't cool by sweating; so, all you can do is take off all your
clothes, hope there are no clouds in the sky (common), take a spread eagle
position on the ground and try radiating and much body light to the cold
sky (255 K, -18 C or -0.4 F ) as you can.  Better, head inland where the
air is drier or find an air conditioned place somewhere.  The rule of thumb
is: the higher the dewpoint temperature the more difficult it is to stay
cool and the more work our body has to do to keep homeostatic thermal
equilibrium.  


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     ***                 Below-ground Temperatures                 ***
     ***                     Arctic to Tropics                     ***
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Gus Savage (Arctic Tundra LTER) reminded LTER field trippers of the
benchmark Lachenbruch and Marshall paper in Science (1986) on soil
temperatures, permafrost and global warming. [Changing climate: Geothermal
Evidence from Permafrost in the Alaskan Arctic, Science 234:689-696.]  When
I got back from foraging at Prudhoe Bay with the CC committee another
underground temperature and climate change paper was on my desk was 
[Cermak, Bodri, and Safanda,  1992.  Underground Temperature Fields and
Changing Climate: Evidence from Cuba, Global and Planetary Change Section
97:325-337].  You are probably wondering how a global change journal could
be 97 issues (years) old!  Well, it is our old friend Paleogeography,
Paleoclimatology, Paleoecology in modern sartorial meaningfulness.  In
these papers, global warming and surface disturbance of the surface
vegetation cover are proposed as the cause of soil warming.  

In the case of Cuba, a 2 to 3 C surface warming is indicated by the profile
of temperatures with depth.  The warming is attributed to forest clearing
and the  switch to agricultural ecosystems some 100 to 200 years ago!  

In the case of the Alaskan Arctic, a 2 to 4 C surface warming is indicated
by the profile of temperatures with depth.  For 14 bore holes in the
tundra, here are the dates (in years) for the onset of warming based on a
best fit linear model: 1910, 1956, 1937, 1891, 1928, 1940, 1944, 1940,
1943, 1952, 1950, 1916, 1906, 1923, 1895.  Most of these dates are before
the global peak in warmth in 1940 and the date by which most of the global
warming to date has taken place, i.e. 1940 [see Idso & Balling (1991)
Theor.  Appl. Climatol. 44:37-41].  Lachenbruch and Marshall note that the
warming got started latest at the more inland sites north of the Brooks
Range.  Evidence of the earliest warming are from the Prudhoe Bay area:
1885, 1873, 1876, 1927, 1873, 1878, 1835, 1855, and 1868.  Lachenbruch
found warming from the most recent decade or two restricted to the Prudhoe
Bay area where there was surface disturbance do to oil drilling beginning 5
to 7 years before 1984.  The Alaskan Arctic data is consistent with the
Idso and Balling report that almost all of the warming in the global
temperature recorded occurred before 1940.

In the tropics, carbon extraction for human use is blamed for the warming
in the record.  In the Arctic, carbon extraction for human use can be
blamed for the very recent local warming evident in the soil temperature
profile record in the oil fields area.  

One of the most interesting things about these papers, especially the one
on Cuba, is that changing the surface vegetation covering of the landscape
leaves a record behind in soil temperatures.  These warmings confound the
signature of atmospheric warming that might be present.  Analysis of such
records is not cheap as boreholes about 400 m deep are required.  

At 50 cm soil temperatures are a good estimate (with an added constant
depending on the vegtation cover) of contemporary mean annual temperatures.
 In the tropics, the difference in temperatures between a rainforest and
bare soil is about 6 K.  Pastures and grasslands are 2.5 K higher than
under bare soil.  You change the vegetation -- you change soil temperatures
at depths.  

Is there a record of forest fire clearings of old in borehole temperature
logs?  Perhaps an LTER scientist in the know knows of a paper on the
subject.  It would be interesing to see how long soil warming lasts
following a forest fire. 


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     ***             Broca's Brain on the North Slope              ***
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Dateline CC Meeting Field Trips:  Cephlomorphometrics as an indicator of
mental prowess has slipped out of fashion (see Gould's The Mismeasures of
Man).  But contemporary fashion, the baseball cap with the little 7-button
plastic fastener on the back, permits observations of cranial perimeters in
an unobtrusive manner.  Such a survey was taken of members of the LTER
coordinating committee and fellow travelers at the LTER CC Big-Alaska
Shootout!  Here is how it works (the methods section of this little
report).  You count the number of buttons on the hat fastener that show. 
The possibilities are 0,1,2,3,4,5, and 6.  Twenty cap wearers were
approached from behind by this reporter (N=20) and tabulated on the spot! 
The mean was 2.4 beads showing plus or minus 1.273 (kurtosis -.582;
skewness .151). Better run to the closet and check your hat to see where
you fit.  The histogram below gives the frequency distribution.  Not bad
for N=20.


Y=frequency of buttons showing
                                                                  
     |                                                                     
                                         
   6 |                       ********                                      
                                          
     |                       ********                           
     |                       ********                           
   5 |                       ******** ********                  
     |                       ******** ********                  
     |                       ******** ********                  
   4 |              ******** ******** ********                  
     |              ******** ******** ********                 
     |              ******** ******** ********                  
   3 |              ******** ******** ******** ********         
     |              ******** ******** ******** ********                
     |              ******** ******** ******** ********                  
   2 |              ******** ******** ******** ********                  
     |              ******** ******** ******** ********                  
     |              ******** ******** ******** ********                  
   1 |     ******** ******** ******** ******** ******** ********           
 
     |     ******** ******** ******** ******** ******** ********        
     |     ******** ******** ******** ******** ******** ********       
     +----|--------|--------|--------|--------|--------|--------|--------| 
                                                                           
          0              0        1        2        3        4        5    
   6

                              CAP BUTTONS SHOWING                

The NSF leadership on the field trip was approached from behind and
tabulated as well.  Results: smaller heads than the total population (mean
= 2.0) and a variable lot (SD = 1.581). They have a large coefficient of
variation compared to the total population 79.057 vs 53.050. But have zero
skewness.  Surprise!  The NSF leadership group had the only 0 button
subject (pinhead?) and the only 5 button subject (fathead?)

Organizers of the CC meeting and field trips were also isolated and
tabulated.  1.333 +/- .577 with a coefficient of variation of 43.301 (on
the pinheadish side).  It is noteworthy that the graduate student minions
at Toolik lake scored a robust 3.667 +/- .577 with a 15.746 coefficient of
variation.  

A number of the field trip participants were sans billed baseball cap. 
Observations indicate considerable cranial girth and a dullness of eyes
thus indicating that a hats-that-don't-have-buttons hypothesis that would
merit study.

Statistics on gender or subfield of ecology were not taken (not PC), nor on
family-way status.  Because individual egos are involved, the data base for
this study will not be put in network archives.  You will have to live with
the "meta data" in this report.  As to the significance of the findings
your really should read Gould's The Mismeasures of Man.

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     ***                   Coldfoot Black Spruce                   ***
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Dateline: Coldfoot, Alaska from the Bus.  Boy, the black spruce here on the
southern slopes of the Brooks Range have a wimpy root base!  Upturned
tress, and there weren't all that many, weigh for a lack of wind storms. 
Could this be?  Atlas check.  Fairbanks: mean annual wind speed 5 mph with
an average monthly range from 3 to 7 mph.  That is less than half of the
average in the lower 48.  Along the arctic coast of Alaska the average is
13 mph.  So why are the winds so modest and black spruce so ill equipped
for winds.

The driving acceleration for wind speed is the pressure gradient, but the
realized wind depends on latitude and that term we can't touch or feel, the
almost unreal coriolis force.  The wonderful Smithsonian Meteorlogical
Tables (Table 39) gives wind speeds for a range of naturally occurring
pressure gradients, and for a spectrum of latitudes.  At Luquillo,
hurricane strength winds (72 knots) are produced by a pressure gradient of
.03 mb per mile.  This same storm moved to Coldfoot would have winds of
only 28 knots.  Look at it this way.  Luquillo trade winds, say 10 knots,
are sustained by a .004 mb per mile horizontal pressure gradient.  That
same forcing pressure gradient at Coldfoot, Alaska would produce only a
wimpy 4 knot wind.  

The winds up on the Arctic coast, which average 13 mph, are high because
steep pressure gradients occur there associated with coastal storms
especially when there is open water around.  Unlike our more temperate
latitudes, Arctic coastal storms move from east to west.  These arctic
storms are monsters to the eye (many isobars tightly "coiled") with
hurricane level pressure gradients but lesser winds.  The Smithsonian
Meteorological Tables don't even give pressure gradients that could make a
72 knot wind way up there.  It is to the good fortune of Coldfoot black
spruce that these coastal storms don't move into the interior of Alaska
with their mighty pressure gradients else the Coldfoot black spruce would
need to be renamed Picea mariana horizontalis!  How about some fancy index
of required root holding power per degree of latitude poleward of the
equator.  If I were a government agency I would need to give this index an
acronym like: RRHPPDLPE.  Not as catchy as acid rain or global warming!  

Well, what does knock over the poorly anchored black spruce?  The two best
candidates are summer convective thunderstorms and winds associated with
fire storms.  I await word from our Alaska friends on the truth about
knocking over black spruce.


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     ***                       Toolik Lake Dew                     ***
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The coordinating committee field trip to Toolik Lake was blessed with clear
skies, sunshine, moonlight and loons on the lake and in the tents.  While
the darkness was  short and the time for radiative cooling restricted to a
few hours, temperatures still fell enough to cause a light dew on the
ground.  Relative humidity reached 100%.  Dew was evidence of those
surfaces that cooled to the dew point temperature.  At sunrise, on an early
walk prompted by to cold diuresis, I surveyed the Toolik compound for
surfaces that had dew.  My observations are: 
     Rocks and pebbles of all types -- undewed.
     Grass flower heads -- dewed.
     Styrofoam cups -- undewed.
     55 gallon drum painted black -- undewed.
     Wood from resource pile (there is no trash at Toolik) -- undewed.
     Construction Aluminium -- heavily dewed.
     Construction Iron -- undewed.
     Painted Aluminium -- undewed.
     Aluminium foil -- heavily dewed.
     Horizontal leaves -- dewed.
     Vertical leaves -- undewed.

Explaining the observations.  The heat balance of each object determined
which got cold enough to reach the dewpoint.  Heat losses: radiation to the
sky and space and conduction to the molecules of the air.  Heat gains:
radiation from the sky.  The last item needed to understand the heat
balance is the heat storage of the objects.  We will assume that during the
high sun of the previous day all these objects had the same temperature. 
The sky temperature (radiative) was probably around 255 K or -18 C.  The
dewpoint temperature at the surface was between 5 and 10 C.  Radiative
losses to the sky exceeded the radiative gains from the sky so temperatures
fell on the night in question.  Some surfaces got cold enough for a
covering of dew and some did not

     Rocks and Pebbles: high heat capacity and large storage; high heat
conductivity (heat moves within the mass rapidly; emissivity around        
   .95; not enough stored heat loss for temperature fall to the dewpoint. 
     Grasses and leaves: Adequate heat conductivity; emissivity = .95; low
heat capacity and low mass/surface area ratio means there is not much heat
to get rid of and temperatures fell rapidly.  The vertical leaves did not
"see as much of the sky as the horizontal leaves and did  not cool to the
dewpoint.
     Non-Aluminium  metal: high heat capacity, high conductivity, high
emissivity (.95).  Stored heat adequate to keep minimum temperatures above
the dewpoint.
    Aluminium  (non-painted): low emissivity (.05), i.e. it gives of IR
radiation to the sky by does not absorb IR from the sky.  It cools down
rapidly at night and lots of dew forms.  Paint the surface (paint
emissivity = .95) and it is like any other metal and dew would not have
formed.  I looked for polished silver (it also has an emissivity of .05)
but could find none even on the resource pile.  Had I found any it would
have had a nice covering of dew.  Mobile homes in environs of cold, dry,
clear air cool down so rapidly at night that they tend to creek and groan
as the skin temperatures fall.  Like a spook house!
     Wood: no dew because it is a poor conductor of heat.  The heat it gets
from the sun in the daytime has a hard time making it to the surface where
it can be radiated away.  On this night it was dewed.
     
There would be real evolutionary advantage for a plant in water starved
places to have a surface with a low emissivity.  Then they would be better
dew collectors.  It would help plants like lichens.  To my knowledge there
is not literature which gives the emissivity of a wide range of plants.  If
any of the readers know of any, I would sure like to hear about it.  In the
next item we will talk about some plants that are expert at harvesting
water from the air by facilitating frost formation!

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     ***                       Ice and Lichens                     ***
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One of the responses on the recent CED discussions of the role of biogenic
ice nuclei was from Thomas Kieft (Jornada LTER).  Tom has four wonderful
papers dealing with ice nucleation activity in lichens.  [Ice Nucleation
Activity in Lichens, 1988, Applied and Environ. Microbio. 54(7):1678-1681. 
Measurement of Ice Nucleation in Lichens Using Thermal Analysis. 1992.
Cryobiology 29:400-406.  Molecular Sizes of Lichen Ice Nucleation Sites ...
1992. Cryobiology 29:407-413.  Characterization of Biological Ice Nuclei
from a Lichen. 1990. J. of Bacteriology 172(6):3519-3523.]  Kieft's work
shows that the surface of arid land lichens have proteinaceous "spots" that
cause ice to collect at temperatures of -4 C where other parts of the liken
surface do not cause ice to form.  He showed that the ice nuclei on the
surface were not of bacterial origin.  Most of lichens tested could cause
ice formation at temperatures warmer than -8 C and as warm as -1.9 C.  He
found that there was negligible ice activity warmer than -8 C for rocks,
plants and soil.  He hypothesizes that lichens are dependent on atmospheric
moisture and derive benefit from increased moisture deposition as a result
of ice nucleation.  Remember past CEDs where we discussed the advantage ice
crystals have over liquid water in accumulating water vapor from the air. 
Ice crystals grow very rapidly compared to liquid water and so a water
needing plant that could get ice crystals to form on its surface and then
melts at with sunrise and absorb it there after would have an advantage. 
Now if lichen had a low emissivity they would be in the catbird seat.  They
could cool rapidly get into the ice  nuclei temperature range and begin to
pull water out of the air!.  Unfortunately we have no data on the surface
emissivity of lichens.  It seems reasonable however that the surface
proteins of lichens are there because of the selection advantage of lichen
genotypes

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     ***                   Update on Ozone War                     ***
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As a long-term observer of the ozone war, Kenneth M. Towe's letter to
Science magazine (7 August 1992) was xeroxed and filed right away.  Towe's
letter takes issue with the famous Stolarski paper [Science 17 April 1992,
p. 342] "Measured trends in stratospheric ozone".  The Stolarski article
indicates that there has been a decline in actual total column ozone
levels.  Towe notes and shows that the measured data show no decline in
total column ozone at all!  You have to remove a bunch of stuff from the
record (seasonal, solar and quasibiennial oscillation components plus data
from atmospheric nuclear tests 'where appropriate' what ever that means. 
When Stolarski did this out came the trend he reported.  Towe notes that it
is possible the CFCs have reduced ozone in recent years but other
offsetting factors have made up the loss and so there has been no change in
total column ozone since 1956!  Stolarski agrees with Towe that the solar
ultraviolet flux at the surface will respond to the actual ozone in the air
and not to the trend term he extracted from the data.  In spite of all
this, UVB at the surface seems to have been reduced in recent years.  In
the words of Pooh: "Oh, bother!"

It is a good thing, after all, that those Canadian school kids were
permitted to go back to school after the NASA scare of last February.  And
the pink eye in sheep, well review the last several issues of CED on that
one.  Cheers for this month.

----------------+--------------------------------+-------------------------
Bruce P. Hayden |  Dept. Environmental Sciences  |  bph@virginia.EDU
(804) 924-0545  |  Clark Hall, Univ. of Virginia |  bph@virginia.BITNET
(804) 924-7761  |  Charlottesville, VA 22903     |  (804) 982-2137(fax) 
----------------+--------------------------------+-------------------------

